Sunday, December 20, 2009

Movin' On Up

Hello there and thanks so much for coming back to the blog. Some of you may be wondering, "Where in the hell is my week 15 Sunday Smash??" I don't blame you. It's been that way since week 1 of the season.

But there's about to be some changes in Conor's blogging world in 2010. We are moving on from the Reilly Sports Blog to spearhead the new "Big Apple Big-Mouths" blog. It will consist of me and my longtime colleague, Chris Bianchi. Generously sponsored by ZDM Design Studio, you can find the site at NYSportBlog.com.

But don't think this is a Johnny Damon-esque sellout. I will not change anything about the blog's structure. Sure, a couple things here and there (you can see that starting this week, I will pick every NFL game against the spread.) But you will still get the Sunday Smashes, Monday Mashes, sparkling wit, and sometimes-egregious bias you've come to known from this site. We're just going Hollywood a little bit.

So I invite you to come along to the big leagues. I'd like to give my deepest thanks and gratitude to those who read the Reilly Sports Blog from the start. Along with my cherished 18 "Followers," I know there are many more that have given me encouragement along the way. It's what kept the site going. And I really hope each of you will continue to follow me and Chris on Big Apple Big-Mouths.

C. Reilly, over and out.

Friday, December 18, 2009

Holiday Hogepodge

Why hello there, strangers! Please pardon the blog's mid-week hiatus. We got lost in some holiday television specials on Wednesday; and weren't really in the mood to chat after attending the Islander-Ranger game last night. But we're back with the oh-so-rare Friday matinee edition. I'm in a rather chipper mood today, after the Colts knocked off the Jaguars to give the Jets' ray of playoff hope a little more glisten. We'll get to the Jets and Giants in a bit. Heck, we'll cover some baseball hot stove, too. Aw, what the hey, we'll even chat hockey! The sports holiday hodgepodge is in place, and the blog is ready to dish. Let's get to it...

Football
As usual, I'll start with the guys in green. As mentioned earlier, the race for the final AFC playoff spot may be down to three horses. Miami, Baltimore, and the Jets are all tied at 7-6. If people were placing bets, the Ravens are favorites right now. Unless I'm missing something, they are the team that makes the playoffs if all three teams win out. They also have perhaps the easiest schedule of the bunch, facing the Bears, Steelers, and Raiders (15-24 combined.) The Jets seem to have a daunting task of the Falcons, Colts, and Bengals (29-11 overall.) But some real luck may come their way, as the formidable Colts and Bengals may rest their big players to prepare for the playoffs. If Gang Green can seize their potentially-great opportunity, they can make some hay. It all starts with Atlanta though, which could be rocky. Miami is in serious danger with their schedule, as the Titans, Texans, and Steelers (a deceiving 18-21 overall) will all come to play. So as you can see by the schedules, the Pittsburgh Steelers have the Jets' playoff hopes in the palm of their hands.

Now to the Blue Man group. Their situation is a little less messy. After doing some conceding (Eagles win the NFC East, Packers get the 1st wild card spot) we can deduce that either the Cowboys or Giants will be the other wild carder. The Jets can help out by finishing off Atlanta on Sunday. Though the 49ers have shown feistiness, I'm going to declare it too little too late for them. That's where the deducing comes from. Being one game in front, the Cowboys are locked into the playoffs if they win their three remaining games. If they do not, however, the Giants hold all the tiebreakers and will be there to take Dallas' spot. Games against the undefeated Saints and formidable Eagles may mean another December heartache for the Cowboys. The Giants' quest to leapfrog them will start Monday night against Washington.

Baseball
Usually in December, baseball talk is all about the free agents cashing in on new deals. Though there is some of that going on (Lackey and Cameron to Boston, Figgins to Seattle, Wolf to Milwaukee, etc.) talk these days is all about "The Trade." Yes, the deal that landed new homes for 2 of the 5 best starting pitchers in all of baseball. The two-time defending National League Champion Phillies ditched Cliff Lee in favor of Roy Halladay. On the outside, it looks like a classic Brad/Jennifer/Angelina scenario. "One was really special, but we can take over the world with the other one." So the Phils did what they thought was necessary to stay on top, though it cost them some serious young talent. I will further discuss the hot stove when more things get done/I do more research. But Cliff Lee already seems spurned by Philadelphia. He is going to be a man possessed next season, and the Mariners suddenly look pretty zesty.

Hockey
Yeah, we're going here. It's almost halfway through the NHL season, and the Islanders and Rangers both have 33 points. How poetic. Though their totals are identical, one team's fans are calling for the heads of the head coach and general manager while the other is being praised for resiliency and good coaching. It's funny how hockey works sometimes. The general opinion is that the Rangers are indeed getting the least out of their talent. Forward Marion Gaborik is leading the league in scoring, but he is their solitary contributor on offense. Coupled with this lack of offense has been goalie Henrik Lundqvist's so-so play between the pipes. Nobody is looking to run the guy out of town, but he has set the bar very high for himself in recent years.

The Islanders have sure come a long way in 35 games. They are currently 2 points out of the final playoff seed in the east. To offer some perspective, they missed the final seed by 32 points last season. So there you go. Is there a swoon coming? Perhaps. But the Isles had a brutal schedule up to now (21 road games compared to just 14 at home.) If they can cash in on this upcoming home stretch during the holidays, they may be a long way from the #1 pick in next year's draft.

Thus concludes the holiday hodgepodge. Judging by the amount of blood on my fingers from typing, I'd say I made up for the hiatus. But I really wanted to tackle another edition of What About Conor Wednesday to commemorate the holidays, so I will do that today. Presenting for the first (and perhaps only) time, it's Facts About Conor Friday! Today's topic: Conor's top-5 holiday songs for the season. The links will take you to some kind of video for the song. Enjoy.

5. Carol of the Bells (Best Version- Trans-Siberian Orchestra)

I'm pretty sure this is the name of the song. To be honest, I've always called in the "Home Alone song." It's a real testament when a Christmas song doesn't need words to be awesome. This song begs for some kind of berserk light show everytime it is played. Every sound that's been discovered by man is featured in the song. I'm not exactly sure what connects it to the holiday season. But something just clicks with it. It belongs on this list.

4. Believe (Best Version- Josh Groban)

I'll admit, this one's a little...wimpy? I didn't go head over heels for the Polar Express movie. But I think this song--if not bigger than the movie--certainly gave it solidarity. The lyrics are nice and all, but the melody in the background just bursts with holiday cheer.

3. O Holy Night (Best Version- Bing Crosby)

A real 'keep Christ in Christmas' song. For me, something has always just set this song apart from other traditions (O Come All Ye Faithful, Silent Night, Hark the Herald Angels Sing, etc.) As for the best version, there is no question about it. Crosby's version was the first I heard of the song, and it's the undisputed champion.
BONUS VERSION- Eric Cartman. Hey, it makes me giggle.

2. Jingle Bell Rock (Best Version- Bobby Helms)

It's short and sweet. There's nothing I can say that the lyrics don't. And Bobby Helms sings it best.

1. Little Drummer Boy (Best Version- David Bowie and Bing Crosby)

Ok fine. The Little Drummer Boy isn't my favorite Christmas song. But this is my favorite Christmas video of all time. The uncomfortable awkwardness of the opening conversation absolutely blows my mind. And the way they drastically alter the song is preposterously phenomenal. It's just a staple of the holidays.

Well there you go. Feel free to comment with your own. We will hit the holiday movies next week. Promise. We'll see you on Sunday for the 'Smash.

Monday, December 14, 2009

Monday Mash- Week 14

Welcome back to the blog. Sunday's week 14 action had lacked some topsy-turvyness for the majority of the day. Great teams stayed undefeated. Good teams beat bad teams. Crappy teams beat crappier teams. The supposed-to-be game of the week ended in a 30-10 Minnesota blowout of Cincinnati.

Well all of that changed at about 8:30 last night, when the Giants and Eagles kicked off. The two teams made up for any lock of topsy-turv-ocity (and then some.) We will get to that slugfest in just a tick. First, the matinee games. Sure, some of it was mundane. But here are the things that made me give a Tony Robbins-esque 'YES!' from yesterday's action.

Did the Kellen Clemens-led Jets dispose of the Bucs and keep the season afloat?
YES!

Did the Dolphins take out the Jaguars to pull everyone even in the wild card race?
YES!

Did the blog's picks finish with a sterling 6-1 record on Sunday?
YES! YES! YES!

It all reminds me of the :26 mark of this video. Just call me the guy that's on the right, pacing back and forth.

So the blog basks in its glory, as the Jets, Chargers, Texans, and the Pack attack all prevailed as favorites. And all the while the Panthers and Dolphins covered as 'dogs.

The only blemish on the blog's picks? Well, that's a perfect segway into one of the topsiest, turviest games I can ever remember watching. To watch the Giants play the Eagles last night wasn't just viewing an NFL game. It was a conquest on the couch. It was an odyssey in HD. It was a monsoon with pretzels and popcorn.

Ok, all that is a little much. But this game had it all. And that's necessarily a compliment. Yes, the stellar quarterback play, long touchdowns, and resilient comebacks were all a part of the action. But so were the dropped passes, horrifically-missed tackles, and coverage ineptitude of a high school intramural game.

By the time the game was over, the scoreboard read 45-38, Philadelphia. The Eagles took the lead three and a half minutes into the game. That lead would last until five minutes remained in the third quarter, when the Giants went on top by 1 (because Philly had a blocked extra point early on.) That New York lead lasted all of fifteen seconds before DeSean Jackson was skipping backwards to the endzone. Game, set, match.

The Giants gave the Eagles all they wanted on offense (4 fumbles lost) defense (billions of big plays allowed) and special teams (DeSean Jackson again.) At home, to put up 38 points and nearly 400 offensive yards and lose...it's as inexplicable as it gets. The Eagles were favored by a minuscule one point, so the football world knew that anything was possible. But the game last night transcended possibility. It even flirted with the ream of impossibility.

Here's the rest from week 14...

The Montauk BeverageWorks Delicious Performance of the Week:
Brandon Marshall, Broncos. To my recollection, the first ever performer to win the award despite his team losing. But Marshall re-wrote the record books with his 21-catch, 200-yard, 2-touchdown explosion yesterday. Denver's Unocinco went from the outskirts of the league's top-20 in receptions to third, one catch behind Reggie Wayne for second. He also vaulted into the top-10 in yards. The Broncos fell as the latest victim to the undefeated Colts, and their stranglehold on a wild card spot is getting a little loose. But this is an individual achievement for individual weeks, and this individual earned it.
  • The new batch of teams mathematically eliminated from the postseason: St. Louis, Tampa Bay, Detroit, Cleveland, Kansas City, Washington, Oakland, and Chicago. One-of-these-things-is-not-like-the-other. Peter King predicted the Bears in the Super Bowl. I demand his job.
  • Since they are in the NFC, the Giants' 7-6 record bears a lot more fruit than the Jets' 7-6 record. By virtue of the Cowboys' impossible schedule, the Giants are looking at potentially going 8-8 and still sneaking in. The Jets? Their only option is still to win out and get an itty bitty bit of help.
  • I'm not sure if the whole Randy Moss quitting thing is actual news; or a product of late season lack-of-juiciness. Considering the Patriots won the game, I think it's all a little too much. But after his vacation years in Oakland, it's a situation worth monitoring.
  • Due to the lack of juiciness mentioned earlier, this Mash is noticeably shorter. Just not too many games worth your time. The biggest eye-popper on the week 14 scoreboard? The Rams-Titans boxscore. No, not the 47-7 homicide. It was the St. Louis stat leaders. Passing: Keith Null with 157 yards (along with 5 interceptions.) Rushing: Kenneth Darby with 51 (all on one carry. Darby's yard total in the previous 12 games: 56 yards.) Receiving: Brandon Gibson with 43. I can say with confidence I had never heard of Null or Gibson until yesterday. I could have pegged Darby as an NFL player, but I wouldn't to be able to say what team he played for.
  • Not the greatest Monday nighter tonight. Fans of the Cardinals can be excited that Arizona can clinch another division title if they beat San Francisco tonight. I fully expect them to do so. The Cards are favored by 4; take that with confidence. Cardinals 31, 49ers 13

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Sunday Smash (Saturday Edition)- Week 14

Hello there fans and friends. It's the final straightaway of the race that is the NFL season. Twelve games down, four to go. There are six teams that are officially, utterly, mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. After this week, that number can grow by more than a half-dozen other teams. The week is already off to a bizarre start, as the Steelers laid an egg for the fifth consecutive week. (At this point, I'm a proponent for Troy Polamalu getting the NFL MVP every single season. Pittsburgh has shown what they are without him.)

On Thursday, (besides picking a Steeler victory and declaring how preposterous it would be if they lost) the blog took a look at the scenarios for the New York teams this weekend. So you can check those out. After dropping to 0-1 for the week Thursday night, we are obviously anxious for redemption. Here are the picks.

The Locals
Jets (-4) over Bucs
Kellen Clemens vs. Josh Freeman. Look out Canton! This spread would probably be doubled if Mark Sanchez were starting for the Jets. But as bad as Clemens has been, I think all Jets fans can agree that Kellen at his worst is actually better than Marky Mark at his worst. He won't be forced into anything big in this game. Thomas Jones will rack up the yards and work down the clock. And I see the defense re-creating the hell they gave Houston in week 1, smothering the young Bucs (not sure if the pun's intended) into turnovers.

Giants (+1) over Eagles
The toughest game of the week to pick. The Eagles have the momentum and probably have superior talent. But the Giants are at home and showed a whole lot of moxy in out-slugging Dallas last week. If Philly loses, they fall to even with the Giants and their playoff hopes take a big hit. If New York loses, its playoff hopes take a fatal hit. They will be slightly more desperate, and that's the difference in the end.

Around the NFL
Chargers (+3) over Cowboys
From the hardest game to pick, we move to what I think is one of the easiest (I will now pause and allow you to put your life savings on the Cowboys.) But the Chargers on NBA Jam-type fire right now. Contrary to their December reputation, the Cowboys have played well so far this month. But their vulnerability to big plays and lack of discipline was worrisome against the Giants last week. And San Diego has more explosive playmakers than Big Blue does.

Packers (-4) over Bears
Ya know, when the season is over I plan to do a detailed overview of my picks for the entire season. I'm going to see which teams I tended to pick for and against. There is little doubt in my mind that I've picked against the Bears more than any other team this season. Nothing about them is likable. And it's not in a personal sense. It's just I never see a spread that I like with them; not even a home game in freezing December against a big rival. I just don't see it.

Dolphins (+2.5) over Jaguars
Yeah, this is shameless pandering toward the Jets' playoff chances. And no, I'm not apologizing. Along with Denver, Jacksonville is another team whose success baffles me. If they win this week and get to 8-5, I can do nothing but tip my cap. If they lose? Well, a Jaguars team that is 7-6 makes a lot more sense to me.

Texans (-7) over Seahawks
In a division that had the potential to be wide open, Seattle has shown time and again that they want no part of winning it. Houston is at home and still has mathematics to play for. The Seahawks have a messy situation that has now reached their front office. 2010 cannot come fast enough for them. I have no problem laying 7 on it.

Upset Perfiction of the Week
Panthers (+13) over Patriots
There are 14 games taking place on Sunday. This one has the second-biggest spread (right below the Baltimore-Detroit barn-burner.) And I'm not sure why. The Patriots haven't been themselves the entire year, and all their problems have been magnified on the road. Some guy named Moore is under center for Carolina, but they have a two-headed nightmare of a backfield. With all the turmoil and guys getting thrown out of team meetings, the Patriots may be buttering us up for a 72-10 game. It's a possibility. But I'm banking on a competitive, exciting game that's going to get a little dicey for the Pats.

Enjoy the games!

Thursday, December 10, 2009

When Life Gives A Kellen, Make Some Clemen-ade

Welcome back to the show. On the last transmission, I predicted a Baltimore win over Green Bay on Monday night. To nobody's surprise, Green Bay dominated. Though the incorrect pick stung, it was evened out (and then some) by virtue of what this result meant to the Jets.

Because with that win, I can now say with 98% confidence that the Jets will make the playoffs if they win out. Sure, it's a long shot. But the prospect of winning out and needing help is infinitely bleaker. Gang Green's playoffs start this Sunday and lucky for them, their first matchup is against a team with a 1-11 record. But the football gods seemingly wanted to handicap the game, as Mark Sanchez will sit out with his knee injury.

So chapter 47 of the Kellen Clemens saga takes place Sunday in Tampa Bay. The first 46 were met with mixed reviews (to put it kindly.) The 4th-year quarterback from Oregon has shown good arm strength and has definitely gotten better since he first started out. In fact, if Sanchez actually stayed in for the rest of the Buffalo game last Thursday, fans wouldn't be all too terrified with Clemens starting a game.

But that's the problem. Sanchez came out of the game. Fans then watched in shock and awe as Clemens tried to hold the lead for the rest of the game. It was graphic. Understandably, the Jets ran the ball like there was no tomorrow. But when Clemens dropped back to pass, the fans' mindset went from "Ok, he's rusty" to "Ok, he was woefully unprepared to play in this game" to "Oh dear God Kellen you are murdering my soul." It culminated with a sack/fumble in which D'Brickashaw Ferguson pounced on the ball to save the game and the Jets' playoff hopes. Everything the Jets fans thought they knew about Clemens' developing skills was napalmed in front of their eyes last Thursday.

But a win is a win, and the past is the past. Since Rex Ryan and the staff were probably playing it safe, Clemens has been preparing to start this game since last Thursday. He has started games before, and knows what it takes to win. Keeping that in mind, all I can say is that 1) Thank goodness they're playing the Bucs and 2) There better be 6 different ice baths waiting for Thomas Jones after the game. He will be that sore.

We'll see all that drama unfold on Sunday. Along with the Jets must-win, here are some other rooting you'll find Jets nation doing on Sunday...Lions over Ravens; Panthers over Patriots; Dolphins over Jaguars; Colts over Broncos.

(As an equal opportunity blogger, here is a short synopsis for the Giants' aspirations. First off, if they lose to the Eagles they are not making the playoffs. They seemed to realize that same situation about one quarter into the Cowboys game. They are hoping that furious finish will carry over. Besides that, Big Blue would love to see the Saints finish off the Falcons; the Bears upset the Packers; and of course the Chargers over the Cowboys. All of these are completely reasonable.)

Enough about Sunday. Because the AFC playoff picture will take some more shape tonight. The Steelers, somehow 6-6 after losing at home to Oakland, will travel into Cleveland to play the lowly Browns. As if their 1-11 record didn't say enough, Cleveland's only victory came in a game is which they scored 6 points (talk about lockdown defense!) But the Browns can be feisty, and they will bring all they got tonight against their big rivals. If Pittsburgh polished off the Raiders as expected on Sunday, this would have trap written all over it. But the Steelers losing to Oakland and Cleveland over the span of five days? Save that storyline for the Twilight Zone. Cleveland squeaks out a cover (they are +9.5) in an entertaining game.
Steelers 20, Browns 14.

We'll see you on Sunday.

Monday, December 7, 2009

Monday Mash- Week 13

Welcome back to the blog. I must say, this was one of the more relaxing weeks of watching football. The Jets were not in action, so no pressure there. But it's not on the same level as a simple bye week. Sure, there is no pressure of losing during the bye. But there's also nothing to gain from it (excluding rest, preparation, etc.) But I was able to sit back on Sunday knowing that the Jets had already won! So after that Thursday night win in Buffaronto, Jets fans could sit back and, well, hope for some help.

And yet again, the Jets got some help. The past few weeks, there has been one or two "sneaky upsets" that are doing nothing except keeping the Gang Green heart beating. Yesterday featured the sneakiest of all, with Oakland taking down Pittsburgh in their own building (much more on that in a bit.) The Dolphins also let the football world know the AFC East race is a long way from the checkered line, as they beat the Pats in one of the most topsy-turvy-games of '09. Finally, the Colts knocked the Titans out of the race while staying undefeated.

While there was much help, there were also a few big (plural of the noun-form of hinder.) The two wild card leaders took care of business, with Jacksonville eeking by Houston and Denver exploding Kansas City. So the playoffs are still a long-shot for the Jets. But they're still a shot. They need more of the same help they've gotten. I'm not going to go through the billions of scenarios, but Yahoo has this cool playoff generator thing that you can play around with and make your own scenario.

As for the Giants, they helped themselves in an enormous way yesterday. If you saw yesterday's pick section, you'll know it's something I didn't see coming. At all. It was for a little while, as Dallas jumped out early. But the Giants seemed to score 2 touchdowns in 4 seconds before the first half ended. A big plays (including Hixon's punt return) later, the Giants are alive and kicking for the wild card and even the division.

One of the teams in the Giants' way would be the Green Bay Packers, who play Baltimore tonight. One thing for sure is that one New York team is going to be very happy tonight. Either Green Bay loses and the Giants celebrate, or Baltimore loses and the Jets go bonkers. We will get to that pick later on in the usual spot. But you probably shouldn't trust the pick very much after yesterday's performance. It seemed like a pretty good balance...4 favorites, 2 underdogs. But that balance kinda goes out of whack when all six teams are on the road. The Cowboys, Texans, and Vikings all let down bigtime, while Denver easily covered. The Bucs couldn't pull the Perfiction upset, but there was still an enormous moral victory to be had from the section. Here's an excerpt from the Rams-Bears pick...

"Just begging for a cover here. I'm not making this the Upset Perfiction of the Week, because the spirit of that honor is that the underdog is supposed to win outright. The Rams have burned me too many times to count. Maybe they come through for once."

St. Louis was given 9 points. The final score? 17-9 Bears! Boom, baby. One of the biggest moral victories in the months-long history of the picks section.

Here's the rest from week 13...

The Montauk BeverageWorks Delicious Performance of the Week:
Bruce Gradkowski, Raiders. We never thought we would see the day. A man in the silver and black has a day so epic, perhaps so absurd, he is distinguished with this honor. I've said all along that this award isn't all about the numbers, and sure enough, Bruce's 308 passing yards ranked just 9th in the league for week 13. But come on. The Raiders beating an absolutely desperate Steeler team? On the road?? NEEDING TO GO THE LENGTH OF THE FIELD IN THE FINAL MINUTE??? Just look at these highlights. Please, just pay attention to the Raider announcers' voices as they call that final drive. Even they couldn't believe what they were seeing. Gradkowski completed ridiculous passes to non-fictional NFL players that are named 'Chaz' and 'Johnnie Lee.' Sure, Bruce and the Raiders got bonus points for helping out the Jets. But this game, and his performance, was amazingly preposterous. Or better yet, preposterously amazing.
  • Officially speaking, we know have 2 teams that have clinched the playoffs in the NFL. Though it was a long time coming, the undefeated Saints and Colts both punched their tickets. The Colts win was impressive, coming against the powder-blue-hot Titans. The Saints? Well, they got an early Christmas gift from the Redskins. Washington had dozens of chances to put that game away. But at the end of the day, both streaks live on.
  • Minnesota is also a lock to clinch, but that was a particularly disturbing loss to Arizona last night. Sure, the Cardinals will always be dangerous. But the Vikings got some injuries they didn't need, and Favre looked a little 'Jet-like' with the ball. Everyone is entitled to a bad week. But the cloud of doubt about Favre seems to be forming overhead.
  • I'm never betting for or against the Texans again this season. This is getting insane. I know Jacksonville would be a playoff team if the season ended today, but what was Houston doing?? They play every game as if they are 7-8 and it's the final game of the year. It never means anything to them. If that coaching staff stays intact into next year...I don't know. I would give up.
  • The Bengals beating the Lions didn't shock too many people. But the headline on ESPN is a little rough on Cinci's fans..."Bengals handle Lions, clinch rare winning record." Is a backhand required with everything the Bengals do right? Their fans deserve this success.
  • I was a little creeped out by the Eagles-Falcons situation. Michael Vick comes back to Atlanta, and shows ability that we hadn't seen since his return. Not only do the Falcon fans have to see that, but they also must watch their golden boy Matt Ryan injured on the sidelines as their season melts away. Seems like a particularly harsh day.
  • I was thrilled that the Dolphins-Patriots game was on New York television. It was a thrilling game. But watching the Patriots for an entire game made me realize that Wes Welker is very often-overlooked in the discussion of athletes that look like sure pedophiles.
  • Yes, the Broncos shut me up for at least this week. 44 points is a lot. And so is an 8-4 record. But road games against Indy and Philly will tell me a lot more than games against the Chiefs.
  • As we said earlier, it's the Green Bay Packers hosting the Baltimore Ravens on Monday night football. I've just done some extensive weather research, it's supposed to be 25 degrees with flurries. My green heart is with the Packers, and so is Vegas with a 3.5 point spread. But Baltimore's defense comes in angry and makes some plays. Big plays. Ravens 24, Packers 22

Sunday, December 6, 2009

Sunday Smash- Week 13

Week 13...just typing that is surreal. The football season makes time move at hyper-speed. Halloween, Thanksgiving, and soon Christmas all fly by in a blur as we make our way towards the playoffs. There is a nice platter of games to digest today, but first let's dissect the first game of week 13.

The Jets and Bills were both on the road Thursday night, but Buffalo was considered the 'home team' in Toronto. As you often find in the Thursday games, the play is usually sluggish and messy. After all, New York and Buffalo only had 3 days of rest, and had to make the trip to Toronto during that time. So nobody was to expect an epic, wheelin'-dealin' type game. Here's an excerpt from Thursday's post, where I picked the Jets to win...

It may not be the most captivating game in NFL history, but the Jets are in desperation mode from here on out. No style points; every win is poetic.

Three days (and one Jets victory) later, everyone feels the exact same way. It's a bad cliche, but the Jets quite literally 'lived to play another week.' It's all they can do these days. Win your game, cheer for certain AFC teams to lose, move on to the next week. The Jets did their part for week 13. They can sit back today and know everything is out of their hands. (In case you're curious, the general consensus is that the Jets are rooting for the following today: Dolphins over Patriots, Houston over Jacksonville, and Indianapolis over Tennessee.)

The Jets win wasn't pretty (Braylon Edwards catching a ball with his face.) It was even painful (Sanchez questionable for next week with a knee injury.) But the defense is showing some real signs of going back to the good ol' days of September, and the running game is still a driving force. Yes, the team's been maddening with inconsistency this season. But there's plenty of places that have it worse than the Jets, perhaps even their gotham neighbors.

Seeing as how we got that Giants teaser in, let's get on to the week 13 picks. Just cover, baby.

The Locals
Cowboys (-1.5) over Giants
I have to keep a clean conscience this week. I want the Giants to win today. It would make the NFC playoff picture incredibly compelling. But tomorrow, I can't be staring at my computer screen wondering what I was thinking. Not this week. Keeping all allegiances aside, there is no concrete argument as to why Big Blue wins. So why the tiny spread? Because the Cowboys, despite winning consistently, have had some real nasty wins lately. An offensive dud today would not work out well. But I don't see it. The Cowboys move the ball with relative ease, and the Giants run out of steam at the end.

Around the NFL
Texans (-2) over Jaguars
This has to happen. No, not just because it helps the Jets. Houston was annihilating the Colts last week before, well, they collapsed. The played to their potential and then were afraid to lose. The Jaguars will not put this fear in them. And they don't have Peyton Manning, either. Matt Schaub goes on fire in the Jacnsonville sun.

Broncos (-6) over Chiefs
This one is definitely a trap. But I'm happy to fall into it. The Broncos ripped apart the Giants on Thanksgiving, and had plenty of extra rest to prepare for Kansas City. Denver is not even in first place anymore after starting 6-0, and they will take out some anger on the Chiefs. It will be over early.

Rams (+9) over Bears
Just begging for a cover here. I'm not making this the Upset Perfiction of the Week, because the spirit of that honor is that the underdog is supposed to win outright. But the Bears just anger me. Nobody seems to like each other, Jay Cutler's eyes are always misty, it's all a mess. The Rams have burned me too many times to count. Maybe they come through for once.

Vikings (-3.5) over Cardinals
There's talk everywhere that Kurt Warner's still not right in the head. In a medical sense. His concussion problems make him a gametime decision for tonight's game. Minnesota has made an argument about being the best team in football recently. So 4 points is nothing to fret about. Even if Warner does play, the Vikings defense will mess him up. Favre and the purple people eaters roll on.

Upset Perfiction of the Week
Buccaneers (+4) over Panthers
The Bucs had one of the bigger UPofW success stories when they beat Green Bay earlier this year. Let's hop right back on board. Jake Delhomme isn't starting, and now there's news DeAngelo Williams won't play either. Josh Freeman makes the Bucs watchable, and Cadillac Williams breaks off a few. Tampa shocks them on the road.

Yeah, I just picked six road teams. I gotta feelin, Fergie. Enjoy the games, amigos.

Thursday, December 3, 2009

A Very (Sports) Thirsty Thursday

Hey there and welcome back to the show. Previously on the Reilly Sports Blog, I was hyping up the Saints-Patriots matchup as the game of 2009. A 38-17 final score later, here we stand a little red in the face. Neither team could really stop each other on defense, but Brady threw a couple of picks while Brees was a mix between Joe Montana and William Wallace. Everyone got involved in the action.

The Saints' leading receiver? That would be Marques Colston, the team's undisputed #1 wideout. However, there was news today that surely turned his week from sweet to bitter. Colston is one of the few NFL players that attended college at Hofstra University. Located in Hempstead on Long Island, it is indeed a hometown school of the blog. Today, Hofstra announced that it has dropped its football program after 69 years of existence. Colston and Willie Colon of the Steelers are some notable alum that are currently playing on Sundays. But the most famous product of the Flying Dutchmen/Pride program is Wayne Chrebet, formerly of the Jets. Until this year, the Jets also held all of their training camps on Hofstra's campus. These factors will always connect the small school with my favorite football team. So though I didn't attend Hofstra, it was still sad news to hear.

Ok enough sappy stuff. Considering it's a Thursday night, there is a rather tasty sports brew on tap for the evening. Here is a brief overview on where my eyes will be tonight...
  • 7:00- Tune in for the puck drop in Atlanta, where the Islanders are playing the Thrashers.
  • 8:00- Set DVR for Community on NBC. I hear that it's ratings are crappy, perhaps bordering on cancellation. That would be criminal. Watch this show if you haven't before.
  • 8:15- Kickoff between the Jets and Bills in Toronto. This game becomes the primary game I watch. Check back to the Islanders on commercials.
  • 9:00- Set DVR for The Office. I'm pretty sure they don't have any ratings problems.
  • 9:01- Flip over to the Oregon-Oregon State college football game. The winner will go to the Rose Bowl to play Ohio St. Go Ducks! This will become another secondary game. It will share time with the Islanders until that game ends at about 9:30. Afterwards, this game has exclusive rights to the Jets game commercials.
  • 9:30- Islanders end, hopefully with a victory.
  • 11:30- Jets end, please Lord, with a victory.
  • 12:30- Oregon's Civil War game ends, with a Ducks blowout.
So how 'bout that Thursday. All locked up from 7 pm until after midnight. Should be fun. Except for my eyes of course, who won't have any fun and will probably be begging for mercy by the end. Whatever. I'll keep eyedrops close.

So, here's the solitary pick (as if it will be a surprise.)

Jets (-3) over Bills
Yes, the Bills are bolded because they are technically 'at home.' They are also getting 3 points against a team they already beat on the road. Mark Sanchez bought, gift-wrapped, and delivered that game to the Bills (5 Int.) And he is more than capable of a repeat performance. But the Jets will be content having Sanchez throw under 15 passes tonight. New York ran for over 300 yards against the Bills last time, and they'll go for 400 tonight. Thomas Jones, Thomas Jones, and Thomas Jones some more all night long in Toronto. And when he gets tired, they will run Shonn Greene into the ground. It may not be the most captivating game in NFL history, but the Jets are in desperation mode from here on out. No style points; every win is poetic. The Bills offense seems to be on a roll, but they will be stopped if the Jets defense comes to play. And they will. God help me, they will.
Jets 24, Bills 13