Conference Championship Preview-palooza

Hello again, folks. Sorry for the lack of follow-up posts after the Tuesday reaction. The last few days have been spend sifting through preview sections, getting mentally focused for today's game, and...yes, a little bit of reveling from last week.

From what I've seen of the New York papers, this town is confident the Jets are going to the Super Bowl. With all the published predictions, you would think Gang Green was facing the Pittsburgh Pirates on the field today. But it's to be expected--almost everyone locally picked the Jets to beat Indy last season. It's times like this where if you're in the New York media and don't buy in, it's really a lose-lose for you. If you pick against the Jets and they lose, whoopdy doo, you get it right and everyone else is miserable. Pick against them and they win, and then you're the dweeb who went against them. So all NY media picks should be taken with 50 grains of salt (except this blog's, which should be taken with the normal one grain of salt.)

So the Jets are trying to make the big show for the first time since Brett Favre began (Not his football career career--his life.) Meanwhile, plenty of attention is being given to Bears-Packers on the NFC side of things. They play in the same division, are both very talented, and the fans despise each other. Should be rather enjoyable starting at 3pm today. Wanna know what's going to happen? You got it!

GREEN BAY PACKERS (10-6) AT CHICAGO BEARS (11-5)

The Line: Packers by 3.5

How They Got Here

Well, the Packers side of things is a bit more interesting. It seems like a very, very long time ago when Green Bay took on the Giants with a playoff berth virtually at stake. Ever since taking care of business that day, the Pack have been the hottest thing going in the NFL. They had some bizarre losses this season (consecutive overtime losses to the Redskins and Dolphins.) And two other losses can certainly be forgiven, since Matt Flynn took the place of a concussed Aaron Rodgers for two weeks. Their quality wins include the Eagles and Jets, and of course the two straight wins over the Giants/Bears to close out the regular season. Rodgers has achieved super-duper-Jesus Christ-superstar status in the league, and nobody thinks he can be stopped on his way to a Super Bowl. On the other hand, the 2010 Bears have played this season with the sole mission of making me eat servings upon servings of crow. I anointed them a 5-11 team in my NFL preview, and they turned the tables by going 11-5. To be fair, I'm still not sure how they did it. After all, the Bears were no better than 20th in the league in pass yards, rush yards, and pass yards against. But they shut down the rush, they are opportunistic on defense, and Jay Cutler has gotten work done when he's had to. Losses were to Giants, Seahawks, Redskins, and Pats before their finale loss to the Packers when they had nothing to play for. Even though it was do-or-die for the Packers, Chicago led most of the game and were threatening late. Quality Chicago wins include Dallas (pre-implosion) Philadelphia and the Jets.

How the Bears Can Win

Well, I have a feeling Chicago will be a bit more emotionally charged. They won the division, the Packers didn't. They are playing at home, the Packers are facing their third straight road game. Put all that together and the Bears are...a field goal underdog? Dopes like me have given the Bears (particularly Cutler) no recognition for how good they've played. Sure enough, everyone is laying at the feet of Aaron Rodgers this week and the Bears are the 'other team.' That's a dangerous mix, having their home fans behind them. Since I don't see the Pack running game doing anything, the Bears defense must do the improbable and find a way to slow down Rodgers. It may take some unique tactics. Perhaps Lovie Smith will take Julius Peppers aside and recreate this scene, right down to the purple sweater. I came away really impressed with Cutler after how he carved the Jets--those throws he made were ridiculous (in a good way.) Forte and the Bears have the edge in the running game too, which can allow them to mix it up better. Last week, the Falcons did a miserable job with the chances they had to bring down Rodgers. If Chicago is going to stay in it, they will need to finish. Don't forget about Devin Hester in the return game, either. Because if Green Bay does, he can turn the game all on his own.

How the Packers Can Win

More of the same. The offense faced little resistance in Philadelphia, and no resistance in Atlanta. The Eagles game could have been as ugly as the Falcons game, except Green Bay dropped an easy touchdown and got a little too comfortable with the lead in a coaching sense. James Starks gave the Packers a running game nobody saw coming in these playoffs. Green Bay's defense has also improved in its stellar regular season. Raji, Matthews, Woodson, Williams, and Collins are serious playmakers. The formula so far is get a nice lead, then let the defense take the ball away as the other teams try to play catch-up. Green Bay has answered all questions about winning on the road, so the rowdy fans shouldn't terrify them. But boy is it going to be cold there. Rodgers was waltzing around and flicking the ball wherever he wanted in Atlanta's dome...that may be tougher to do on a crappy field in crappy weather. Very few people disagree with the fact that Green Bay is better than Chicago across the board. They just have to avoid disasters (Peppers haunting Rodgers, kicking foolishly to Hester, etc.)

The Pick

This one's for you, Chicago. As I said, my opinion of the Bears in the preseason was less than flattering. I'm sure it didn't get much better during the season--I'm scared to go back and look how many times I picked Chicago against the spread. But I'm ready to move on. All this Aaron Rodgers-is-God talk is becoming a little much for me. As slanted as this stat may be, Rodgers has half the amount of playoff wins as Mark Sanchez! Yeah, Jay Cutler only has one playoff win himself. But the disrespect for a playoff home team can't be underestimated. Which game would you be more confident about...the Saints beating Seattle on the road, or the Packers beating the Bears on the road? Green Bay has already visited Chicago once this year, and came out of the game on the losing end. We have already seen enough craziness in these playoffs. Jay Cutler in the Super Bowl would be the delicious cherry on top. Get ready for a wild one.

BEARS 34, PACKERS 31

NEW YORK JETS (11-5) AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS (12-4)

The Line: Steelers by 4

How They Got Here

The Jets beat a couple of scrubs, and the Steelers took down their hated rival. Hehehe. Ok, Gang Green is on a ridiculous high after taking down the two quarterbacks who dominate the football landscape. Rex Ryan constructed gameplans catered to hold down two Super Bowl winning quarterbacks, and he's got one more guy left. The Jets up-and-down season has been well documented, and it was the victory in Pittsburgh that finally got them their swag back. On the Pittsburgh end, the regular season was impressive. Their only losses were to Baltimore (without Ben) New Orleans, New England, and these Jets. As good as that regular season was, they did not instill fear into their opponents with last week's performance. They looked finished in that 3rd quarter when Baltimore led 21-7. Yes, the defense took over bigtime. but Baltimore was also quite accommodating to the comeback. The Jets will look to take an early lead in this one (like in the regular season when Brad Smith took back the opening kickoff.) Of course, I will be the billionth person to indicate Troy Polamalu and Heath Miller didn't play in that one. Both will be there today.

How the Jets Can Win

The confidence this week as compared to last week is like night and day. After taking down Manning and Brady, the team has put its complete belief in Rex and the coaching staff that they can form a great scheme. The Jets have great balance, and were basically the only team that gave Pittsburgh trouble in the running game this season. Passing the ball, Sanchez has found a 'comfortable' routine of sucking early and brilliance late. The Steelers can be had in the secondary, but it's all about being content with the safe throws instead of making mistakes going for it all. On special teams, Heinz Field is a nightmare for kickers. Already being a living nightmare, this isn't great news for Nick Folk. But in terms of the return game, the Jets must take advantage of their superior ability. Smith's kick return was truly the difference last game. For the defense, they must capitalize on the few opportunities they get. If a sack is possible, a sack must be attained. No whiffs, no arm tackles that can be swatted. As long as the coverage guys play as incredibly as they did last week, things will be tough for Ben and the offense.

How the Steelers Can Win

The defense can win the game on its own. Their ability to take the ball away will have me horrified everytime Shonn Greene touches the ball. As Baltimore clearly showed last week, you have to play your best for sixty whole minutes if the Jets want to win. On offense, Miller is always there for Ben if trouble arises. If you put last week out of your mind for a moment, remember the difficulty this team has covering guys in the seams. Gang Green begged and dared Indy/New England to run. Things will change this week because the Steelers do that a lot better. If the running game is successful, play-actions to Mike Wallace running deep will be lethal. Despite the media's love affair with Rex and the Jets, the Steelers are favored for a reason. A road win over New England does not guarantee a road win over Pittsburgh. No matter how much it feels like fate for these Jets.

The Pick

Last week I was hoping against hope. Admittedly, now I'm hoping...with(?) hope. These Jets have talked about it ever since Hard Knocks swept the nation. Few can argue that this has been one of the wackier NFL seasons in history. Going along with that, I don't think the traditional, win-every-year Steelers have a place in the Super Bowl. The Jets got this far last season, only to run into an Indy juggernaut and have it all fall apart. Well, the juggernauts have already been vanquished by Gang Green. The Steelers are a tremendous team. But this is 40+ years in the making. You could put the football Monstarz out there, and I'd take these Jets. This is Finland-after-Russia for 1980 Team USA hockey. This is Cardinals-after-Yankees for the 2004 Red Sox. The Jets are going to the Super Bowl. Don't let my postgame victory coma last any more than two weeks...we've got a game to watch in Dallas.

JETS 21, STEELERS 13

Tuesday Trash: Trying to Put Into Words

Unbelievable. Unreal. Overjoyed.

In previewing Sunday's Jets-Patriots game, the great question everyone had was, "45-3...what changes this time around?" It was the same two teams. In the same stadium. With everything on the line. Personally, I had no idea what would change...concluding that it was a leap of faith to think the Jets had a chance.

A leap of faith that the Patriots offense (point totals in their final 8 games: 39, 31, 45, 45, 36, 31, 34, 38) could somehow be contained after the Jets were so powerless on that Monday night.

A leap of faith that the Jets defense (who lost so much shutdown-ability since their great 2009) could hold their own in coverage and somehow muster any kind of pass rush.

A leap of faith that Tom Brady would show a human side after his historical run to end the season.

A leap of faith that Mark Sanchez could conquer the demons of playing in Foxboro (in two previous games: 300 total passing yards, 1 touchdown, 7 interceptions.)

Finally, the leap of faith that Rex Ryan could do what he promised: for one game, outfox Bill Belichick.

Last week in Indianapolis, I was incredibly uneasy going into the game. I knew Gang Greencould win the game, but this was Peyton Manning. Admittedly, the Seahawks beating the Saints helped my psyche incredibly. I knew one game had nothing to do with the other. What happened in Seattle had no impact thousands of miles away in Indianapolis. But when the 'Hawks won, I just felt it set the tone of, "Get ready for these playoffs. Because things are gonna get wild." Next thing you know, Nick Folk sneaks one through the goal posts as time expires, and the Jets punch their ticket to New England.

Fast forward a week. The Jets will never admit it, but they must have known that they had much more to win than lose against the Patriots. The Pats were Super Bowl favorites and everybody bought in. It's why you were hearing arguments that this team was better than the 2007 team that went to the Super Bowl 18-0. This team was supposedly peaking at the right time and ready to skate to a championship. It's why Welker had fun with his foot comments. It's why Belichick consequently had no problem sitting Welker for a series as a punishment.

And in watching the game, boy did it feel different from Indy. Maybe the memories of 45-3 were still dancing maniacally in my head. But personally I was just waiting for the Jets to climb into a bit of a hole and see if they could dig themselves out. The Pats played their part, moving the ball crisply on the first drive. But the Brady interception just turned everything on its head. The Jets simply never got picks this year, so I was watching in disbelief seeing David Harris 'running' (come on, he couldn't escape 450 lb. Alge Crumpler) down the sideline. Since Brady hadn't turned the ball over since his XFL days, the home fans were stunned. And any Patriots player that said they weren't also stunned would be a liar. On the very first series, the Jets showed they wouldn't be the sieve-swiss cheese-house of cards that they were last time. And who knows-- if Welker is on the field instead of being punished, maybe that play is run for him and the pick never happens. Whoever said the Jets' talk was worthless??

Sure enough, Folk launched the field goal attempt toward Trinidad & Tobago, and the Jets got no points off the shocking turnover. The Pats took the ball right back and marched, marched, and appeared to have a touchdown to Crumpler (meaning he would be responsible for a 14-point swing in this game.) Perhaps seeing how absurd that would be, the football gods fired a bolt of invisible lightning to Crumpler's hands and he dropped the ball. Seven points became three points. It's not much, but the Jets trailing by only 3 at the end of the 1st had all of their fans overjoyed.

When I look back on this game, one turning point I will always remember is Drew Coleman's sack in the second quarter. It was violent. It was vicious. And if Brady had any doubts after his interception, now he had to worry about his wellbeing in the pocket. Understandably, the Pats were not expecting the Jets to fluster Brady in the least bit. But when Rex creates schemes that make four rushers seem like 5-6, every quarterback is vulnerable. Great field position off the punt, Sanchez looks cool as ever going down the field, and the Jets lead 7-3 as Tomlinson skates into the endzone.

After that, I literally don't know what to say. Except for some special teams frustrations, the Jets played the game of their lives. Sanchez was John Wayne, being fearless-yet-efficient with his passes. Back before the Monday massacre, everyone was saying the Patriots didn't have the capacity to handle all the Jets receivers. While that game got out of hand and the point became moot, that viewpoint reared its beautiful head for the Jets in this one. Cotchery was everywhere, Edwards carried two Pro Bowl defenders into the endzone (disappointingly, no Dougie) and Holmes made a touchdown catch that will long live in Jets lore. Tomlinson was capable in his running, and Greene rocked the Pats to sleep to virtually clinch the game.

That's all well and good. But 28 points sometimes hasn't been good enough against the Pats this year. This game was defense, defense, and more defense. Brady never got comfortable, and it was just a snowball effect. The longer the Jets held down the Pats' vaunted offense, the more panic came from New England and the more confidence came brooding from New York. When Brady needed time, a pass rush that nobody saw coming suffocated him. Shaun Ellis sure picked a good time to have the game of his life. Ditto for the youngsters in the secondary that everyone thought would be treated like dog food for 4 quarters. There were plays where Brady had all the time in the world, yet had nowhere to go with the football. A lasting image from watching on television was Rex Ryan, clapping and laughing on the sideline after the Patriots' botched fake punt. The Jets played the Monday night game in a fearful, reactionary way. This time they would be the ones bringing the fight.

Going into this game, the Jets believed the best way to stop Brady was to keep him on the sideline. They allowed the Colts nine possessions the previous Saturday, and still barely hung on. Well yesterday, the game dictated that the Jets had no problem with Brady taking the field. Twelve possessions in all. On the night of 45-3, the Pats had 10 possessions. This time, even 21 points was deceiving. Gang Green allowed but one touchdown and two field goals before sealing the game. The Jets thought they had to do anything they could to keep Brady away from the field...they ended up beating him up and forcing him to the sidelines all by themselves.

And so it went. The Jets went on making plays, holding off a steady-but-by-no-means-terrifying New England rally. They watched the Patriots essentially dig their own grave with an eternal drive that zapped the clock and resulted in zero points. They held on to a few onside kicks, Shonn Greene scurried into the endzone, and it was see ya next year for the ballyhooed Pats.

Rex Ryan called this game the second biggest in Jets history. I suppose that by default, next week's game gets that title and this one slips to third. But I cannot think of a sweeter win for the Jet fans. They wanted to have a rebuttal to Pats fans rehashing memories of 45-3. They watched all week as Pats fans reveled in the fact that Peyton Manning lost to these Jets, as they were so certain that Brady and the boys had #4 all locked up. Look out for karma, New England-ites...all that enjoyment you get out of 'winning' the Brady-Manning discussions may be short lived. Because if Pittsburgh beats the Jets and goes on to win a Super Bowl, they're gonna be comparing their guy Ben to Brady. And look at the postseason success between the two--they'll have a heck of a leg to stand on. Good luck picking a side to root for this Sunday!

So though the Jets teetered on 'way too excited' mode after the game, there was certainly a lot to get off their chests. Unfortunately it was at the expense of Deion Branch. Despite being one of two teams to defeat New England this year, that game was totally dismissed because the Pats were now a 'totally different team.' Nobody bothered to consider that the Jets were exactly the same team, and they had the potential to do it again. They just needed a God damn snack to get themselves refocused.

In the broad scope of things, this win should be completely out of the Jets' heads by today. It's hard to believe that their playoff journey is only halfway complete. They've beaten quarterbacks that have combined for four championships, and they remarkably still need to beat a guy who has two himself. But as that significantly-smaller point spread suggests, the highest mountain for the Jets this postseason has just been summited.

Next Sunday night. Pittsburgh, PA. Jets-Steelers for the right to go to the Super Bowl. In the words of the deranged fellow that wears a Bart Scott jersey every Sunday for the Jets, "Can't wait."

Divisional Round Preview-palooza Part II

After an NFL Saturday slate that featured an unthinkable shootout and an unwatchable blowout, I can't amply express how excited I am for today's games. We learned two things yesterday: 1) Regardless of who wins today in the AFC, neither team is going to be scared going against Pittsburgh in the conference championship game. 2) The Jets are a virtual lock to not have the most rotten performance this weekend!

More on yesterday's game in the Monday Mash. For now, on to the final two games of divisional weekend. I was trying to think of the optimal way to introduce today's matchups. After much deliberation, I consulted the past. I decided to see what was churning through my brain four months ago when I wrote my 2010 NFL preview blog. My self-confidence took an immediate hit within seconds. So many swings and misses. But as you look down at the playoff section, I did manage to get four out of eight teams correct in this very round. The Packers (nothing impressive about the pick) the Seahawks (direct any autograph requests to my email) the Jets (of course) and the Patriots (begrudgingly.) But I am guaranteed to miss at least three of my final four teams. The only hope of saving my picks section and my happiness will be for the Jets to pull a mammoth upset of the Patriots in Foxboro.

But the playoffs thus far have called into question whether homefield is a dominating factor. Except for last week's game in Seattle and yesterday in Pittsburgh, the other four games have been won by the visitors. Two of the home losers (Kansas City and Atlanta) got their doors, windows, and roofs blown off. So there is certainly a degree of hope for mega-underdog Seahawks and Jets this week. How much hope, you ask? Let's see how they measure up...

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (7-9) AT CHICAGO BEARS (11-5)

The Line: Bears by 10

How They Got Here

Actually, people are still kinda wondering how the hell Seattle got here. But they sure can't knock them anymore. The Seahawks were mocked, cheapened, and saddled with a 10-point spread as a home underdog last week. Nobody blinked at the fact that New Orleans piled up 36 points on Seattle's defense. But everyone was floored when Matt Hasslebeck & co. scored an astounding 41. Seattle had scored more than 25 just 4 times in the regular season. Marshawn Lynch had the run of the millenium, the 'Hawks and their crowd never stopped their charge, and voila! Chicago sat back in their recliners during that game. And--let's be honest--were probably doing somersaults when Seattle won. Chicago got here by playing stellar defense (3rd in NFL in points against) and be establishing an unspectacular-yet-steady mix of the pass and run. Despite the Bears' 11-5 record, there is a noticeable, relevant blemish on their regular season. October 17th...in Chicago...Seahawks 23, Bears 20. Seattle had confidence against a New Orleans team that manhandled them during the regular season--their mindset going against a team they've already beat should be great to watch.

How the Seahawks Can Win

You can make a non-maniacal case that Seattle has the quarterback edge in this game. Yes, Matt Hasselbeck is old. He's been bald for 17 years now. But as he showed last week, there's still some diesel left in the caboose. This is a quarterback with significant playoff experience as well as a Super Bowl appearance. He's even made a fake-cameo on South Park. At the very least, he won't be overwhelmed by the rabid fans. Chicago won't let anyone run on their defense, but that plays rather nicely into Seattle's hands. Despite Lynch's earth-shaker last week, Seattle isn't looking to ground and pound anybody. Hasselbeck will have to be the guy, and the Bears were a mere 20th in the NFL against the pass. As far as Chicago's offense is concerned, everyone expects Forte to have more success than the no-name injury replacements New Orleans trotted out there. But passing-wise, this will be far less daunting than the Saints attack. Take away the huge play, and they'll get Cutler to do things he's not supposed to. Kick returner Leon Washington better bring his A-game, because he will need it to keep pace with Devin Hester on the other side.

How the Bears Can Win

I'm not sure how to answer this question. On the surface, it seems so easy to say that Seattle just rode the wave of their fans and put everything they had into that one victory. It was their Super Bowl. They are content, and losing this game will not sully their great finish to the season. Chicago's defense is stratospheres better than the sham New Orleans pulled last week. Jay Cutler is no Drew Brees, but it certainly seems logical he can put up more points than the Chicago defense will allow Seattle. Lynch won't be breaking eight tackles all afternoon, let alone on any one play. Hester will make a difference in field position. Chicago needs to hop out early (like New Orleans) and never loosen the grip on Seattle's throats (unlike New Orleans.) A Packer win today means that the Bears are only one win away from hosting their divisional rival next week for a chance to go to the Super Bowl. It's hard to imagine that they won't seize this opportunity.

The Pick

Oh boy. I picked Seatte to lose by two touchdowns last week and they won. I picked Green Bay and Pittsburgh to lose today and they won. Should I go with my bread and butter tactic of being just plain wrong? No...it's not the Reilly way. At the full risk of going 0-3 on divisional weekend picks, I'm taking the Seahawks to cover. And I'm taking the Seahawks to win. Too many wow factors--Hasselbeck acting like John Wayne on his last legs...Pete Carroll constantly being on the verge of a stroke due to childlike excitement...everyone who said they shouldn't be in the playoffs eating their second serving of crow. Most of all, the whole Seattle-winning-a-shocker-immediately-before-the-Jets-kickoff really worked wonders last week. The NFC Championship is going through Seattle. 7-and-9? More like 7-and-FINE.

SEAHAWKS 21, BEARS 16

NEW YORK JETS (11-5) AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (14-2)

The Line: Patriots by 9

How They Got Here

I could rehash the whole story, but I'm trying to keep this post under 25,000 words. In short, Rex Ryan hired by Jets two years ago. Magical run in 2009, a lot of talk of a breakout after, Hard Knocks, then beat the Patriots early in 2010 to get the hype machine in full throttle. Pats went about their business, traded Randy Moss yet got better, and everything led to a Monday night matchup in Foxboro with both teams at 9-2. Gurus and the general public were split on who would win. Those who picked New England were correct to the tune of 45-3. New England dominates the majority of the remaining regular season en route to a 14-2 record and a stone-cold frontrunner for the Super Bowl.

It's amazing what 45-3 did to the NFL universe. The Pats staked their claim on the league, while the Jets bumbled up and down, going just 2-2 after the embarrassment. Going into the Monday night matchup, the hype was insane as football folks (present company included) did everything they could to preview, analyze, try to find the minuscule things that separated New York and New England. Now? Nobody expects the Jets to win this game. Even the fans themselves--the majority have shifted last week's mindset (I don't know if we can beat Peyton, but this would really be a step back from last year) to this week's mindset (We really don't have a chance here, but at least we have back-to-back years with playoff wins in our pockets.)

The Jets got here with capable defensive play (but not nearly as good as last season due to pass rush dearth-ocity.) Technically, they have solid offensive balance between the run and the pass. But sometimes it seems to work against them in that they're unsure when to use which. An improving (but injured?) Sanchez, ridiculous 4th quarter comebacks, and they've shown they can beat anyone when they play to their potential. The Patriots got here because nobody can really stop their offense for four quarters, they never turn the ball over, and the defense just waits for opposing teams to make the inevitable mistakes as their deficits grow. So simple, yet so difficult to pull off.

Finally, we must mention the off-field stuff. Rex saying it's all about coaching. Cromartie calling Brady a butt. Welker with the foot puns, followed by Bart Scott's apparent threat to murder him. It's all worthless once the game starts, but boy did it grab some national attention.

How the Jets Can Win

Let me do my absolute best with this one. On that Monday night, 45-3 was a better outcome than something along the lines of 45-20. I truly believe that. When the Patriots pop in that game footage, they are going to find out vital information such as, "we can really contain Sanchez if he plays like sloth manure" and "this defense is pretty beatable when they have no idea what they're doing." When the Jets look at everything that went wrong (granted it probably took days to see it all) it's actually something valuable. As far as the defense goes, I'm not nearly smart enough to know all the changes that are needed from last time. I can only figure Welker will see a lot of Revis (if you're going to have Brady beat you, at least don't have it be with his guy on his terms) Cromartie playing his style on Branch, and a bunch of mixtures on the inside stuff and tight ends. On offense, I hope Rex simply played the 2nd half of the Colts game on loop all week for his team. They turned back the clock to last year when their run game and attitude was something to be feared, not sprinkled in. Peyton Manning touched the ball three times all half. It was poetry. If and when the pass game is needed, though, Sanchez needs to can the high throws he showed in Indy. A turnover early would be suicide in New England. It's just the way it works. Holmes needs to shake his weird case of the dropsies, Keller/Cotchery must be utilized because they always play their best against the Pats, and most importantly, Braylon Edwards needs to give Patriots defensive backs a follow-up lesson on how to Dougie.

How the Patriots Can Win

Belichick and his staff being great with a camera. Tom Brady not wanting to let down the son he abandoned (actually, I guess we should say let him down again.)

...Supplementary, Non-Hateful Ways the Patriots Can Win

The team is a perfect 8-0 at home. Tom Brady is historically efficient throwing the football this season. Every strength the Pats have on offense is a defensive weakness for the Jets. Last time the teams played, New England won by 6 (touchdowns, not points. Don't be silly.) There is no doubt the Patriots have more to lose in this one, which counts for something. Atlanta gave them a wakeup call today that 1-seeds can be as vulnerable as anyone else (You know, in the 0.000000000000001% chance that the Jets were coming into this one under-the-radar.) I think if we hooked everyone in the world up to a lie detector, there would be only one man that believes 100% in his heart that the Jets are going to win this game. And the Pats want to crush him more than anything in the world.

The Pick

I will spare you the dramatics. You know and I know that ever since Nick Folk's kick passed through the uprights last Saturday, this blog was going to pick the Jets to win this game. Listening to insane amounts of sports radio this week, you hear a lot of "45-3...what's going to change?" You know what, it's a great question. It was a great question last weekend when people previewed the Saints-Seahawks game. It was a great question in 2007 when the football world asked, "18-0...what's going to change?" Most of the time, there is no answer to this question and indeed nothing changes. But sometimes--the magical times--we are provided with an answer that no one expected come the end of the game. New England is coming in playing unbelievable football. Daunting as it may seem for the Jets, this is what they wanted. Rex Ryan said it the first day he was hired. Two years later, Belichick and his rings stand in the way of a return trip to the AFC Championship. 45-3...what changes today? Honestly, I have no idea. Just call it a leap of faith. Or perhaps a catapult of faith. But go ahead and take it, Jets fans. Who knows how many chances to leap we're ever going to get? JETS 17, PATRIOTS 14

My fingers are downright bleeding. Enjoy the heck outta these games, everyone.

Divisional Round Weekend Preview-palooza Part I

Well hello again, folks. I will start this preview post with some great news. The four-eyes at GoDaddy finally have solved NY Sport Blog's issues, so that site will be back up and running in the next few days. I know this may be bittersweet for those who enjoyed this trip down CReilly Sports memory lane. Believe me, I've enjoyed it just as much as you. And you better believe, if the Jets win this week (and therefore go 2-0 in the games I preview on this site) we'll be right back here next week, regardless of NY Sport Blog's health.

But after what felt like one of the longest weeks in NFL history, the divisional round is finally here. It's the great week where quantity and quality are in play. Starting next week, only three games remain in this weird NFL season. So the four top-notch games on the slate for the next two days will be tremendous.

I am writing up this blog at 1:01 on a Friday night. One reason I'm doing so is because my current social life is comparable to Mother Theresa's. A second, more relevant reason is that your's truly will be present at the Jets Pep Rally tomorrow at the Meadowlands. Should be a fun way to kill the interminable time between waking up and the 4:30 pm game. One lucky(?) fan even wins a trip to Sunday's game in Foxboro! I hear everyone gets a free rally towel too. So there's that.

But enough about me. According to the point spreads, tomorrow's two games are the ones this weekend that are actually supposed to be competitive. Both matchups are razor-close in terms of talent, and the teams played down-to-the-wire games during the regular season. The tale of the tapes:

BALTIMORE RAVENS (12-4) AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS (12-4)

The Line: Steelers by 3

How They Got Here

Let me just first point out that I'm not a proponent for 'adding wins in the playoffs to a team's overall record. I know the Ravens are technically "13-4" after their win last week, but the unbalanced number doesn't resonate with me well. I know this kills the Seahawks excitement of potentially becoming a .500 team this weekend, but I can't help it. Ok, now back to something relevant. Pittsburgh and Baltimore, like they always do, battled it out in the same division, split the season series, and dominated most of the other teams they played. Pittsburgh has only lost to teams that made the playoffs (Ravens, Saints, Patriots, Jets.) And take the Baltimore loss with a grain of salt, considering it was a 3-point loss when Roethlisberger wasn't released from time-out yet. But outside of beating Baltimore and an overtime win over Atlanta, there aren't too many WOW victories for the Steelers. Drubbing the Bucs and Raiders are the best of the rest. Three of Baltmore's losses came against the NFL's elite (Pats, Falcons, Steelers) and they had one awful day against Cincinnati. In case you don't get the idea (and haven't heard the 20 billion people say it this week)...um, these teams are close.

How the Ravens Can Win

Baltimore needs to keep everything the same in terms of what they do for 95% of the game. It's always low scoring, it's always close. But in the end, the Ravens seem more prone to make the crippling mistake than Pittsburgh. Joe Flacco needs to hold onto the ball and be efficient. Running on the Steelers is as tough as it gets. But just consult New England- the Pittsburgh defense can be had through the air. Boldin, Mason, and Heap are very respectable receivers and all must be utilized. Ray Rice will be an important checkdown out of the backfield, because Flacco cannot afford to be too bold. The defense, particularly Ed Reed and Ray Lewis, know their window is closing as a championship contender. This Ravens defense isn't as terrifying as the one a decade ago, but they are as experienced as it gets, and will recognize everything Pittsburgh shows them.

How the Steelers Can Win

Personal behavior aside, Ben Roethlisberger is the guy you want on your team this time of year. He is tough, efficient, and can use his legs. He will make defenses crazy with his ability to turn a missed sack into a 40-yard play. The Ravens have had some weird games where their defense cannot stop the bleeding (Houston, anyone?) Nobody expects a shootout in this one, but Pittsburgh can certainly keep up should a circus break out. Mike Wallace is a big play waiting to happen, and it will be interesting to see whether Ben floats a bomb to him with Ed Reed patrolling the area. Pittsburgh will run plenty, but many are concerned about Ben's protection with that patchwork offensive line. Terrell Suggs and the rest of the Ravens' front seven are no picnic, so they will need to be sharp.

The Pick

This is a unique game where most fans probably won't even have a rooting interest. No matter which team advances to the conference championship, nobody will be disappointed. But I think this is Baltimore's time to shine. I know that homefield means quite a bit these days, but these teams did have the same exact record (with the Steelers being a pedestrian 5-3 at home.) Baltimore played their tails off last week and dominated Kansas City. Pittsburgh's bye, combined with two laughers to end the season, means they haven't played a meaningful game in quite some time. I know it's not much...but the way these teams play each other, it's more than enough for me. The Flac Attack gets the monkey off his Back (no, this pick was not made just so I could make that rhyme. But it sure helps.) RAVENS 10, STEELERS 9

GREEN BAY PACKERS (10-6) AT ATLANTA FALCONS (13-3)

The Line: Falcons by 1.5

How They Got Here

Really a perfect storm brewing in this one. The nation seems to think that the 2010 Packers are the greatest 6-seed of all time, and the 2010 Falcons are the worst 1-seed of all time. Atlanta has done nothing but win all season, yet has not gotten anyone's attention. The quarterbacks should shine in this one, as Matt Ryan goes toe to toe with Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay has overcome a decade's worth of injuries to make the playoffs. The Falcons rode Ryan's insanely hot home record all season, and their dome is where they want to be. Atlanta's three losses were nothing to sneeze at- Saints, Eagles, and Steelers. And one of their 13 wins came at home against this Packers team. Not counting the Matt Flynn chronicles of mid-December, that Falcon game was the only loss with Rodgers at the helm since October 17th.

How the Packers Can Win

Everything revolves around Rodgers on offense. He throws great, he runs great, he looks great (very Gyllenhaal-esque.) James Starks came out of nowhere against the Eagles last week to give Green Bay an unexpected running game. Whether he can do that again is questionable, but the passing game could provide enough to win. Woodson and Williams play great pass defense from the corners, and they will need to be sharp against Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez, and the others. Clay Matthews is looking to make Matt Ryan's life a living hell Saturday night. He can turn the game by himself.

How the Falcons Can Win

Well they would prefer to beat the Packers a little more comfortably this time around (Atlanta needed a big kickoff/facemask combo to make a buzzer-beating field goal.) Everyone and their mistress thinks that Green Bay has the overall better team. But there is something to be said about the Falcons in their building. Ryan just plays lights out. Although they limped a little bit toward the end of the season, everything they have done has been for this game in this venue. There are no superstars on the Falcon defense, but plenty of steady guys like John Abraham and Brent Grimes. It's doubtful they will completely shut down Green Bay, but they can keep it reasonable. Michael Turner will need a huge game on the ground.

The Pick

I'm going with the 'favorite.' The point spread is negligible, and I see Atlanta pulling this one out. Though they did everything on their own, there's no disputing that the Packers squeaked into these playoffs. The injuries were just so much to overcome. The Falcons have gone about their business just winning game after game, and I don't see it ending so soon for them. They defeated these Packers once already, and now everything they've worked for all season is on the line. Ryan comes up big at the end of a fantastic game. FALCONS 27, PACKERS 20

Thanks for reading, everyone. Seeya tomorrow. Rah Rah, Jets!

Monday Mash- Wild Card Weekend

After a wild and crazy football weekend, we are down to the final eight. The Ravens (duh) Packers (about right) Jets (pleasant surprise) and Seahawks (not a typo) all earned the right to go on the road against the best teams of the regular season. It's safe to say these team are pretty comfortable outside their building--after all, Seattle is the only team that won at home in wild card weekend.

The Montauk BeverageWorks Delicious Performance of the Week:

Marshawn Lynch, Seahawks. Lynch had the run of a lifetime to clinch the shocking upset of the Saints. It's hard to put into words--but I will fully admit that I have already Youtube'd it about a dozen times. If it was a game of Madden, the guy playing defense would have thrown his controller through the television screen eight different times. Sure, if you take away this play Lynch's day was rather pedestrian. But I suppose that's the whole mantra behind 'ground and pound.' Lynch got the tough yards early in the game, hoping they would pay dividends later on. By the time the 4th quarter rolled around, Lynch's will to score was bigger than the Saints' will to tackle him. And if it wasn't Lynch who won this award, it would certainly be his own quarterback Matt Hasselbeck. A nearly-flawless performance from the guy who didn't even play in last week's clincher against St. Louis. Hasselbeck chucked four touchdowns to guys that either nobody heard of six months ago or nobody wanted six months ago. What a game. What an upset. And good God almighty what a run.

The Favorite Flop of the Week:

Ok, we all know the real answer. But it's time to talk about another game from the weekend. So this dishonor will have to go to the Philadelphia Eagles. There were so many momentum swings in the Eagles/Packers game...Green Bay dominating early, the Eagles making a few huge plays to rally back, and a topsy-turvy final five minutes that had the Packers clinging to dear life. But Michael Vick's game winning touchdown turned into a game-winning interception going the other way. If there was any doubt about Vick being banged up before the game, the Packers made sure he felt everything with their hellacious blitz on the first play of the game. Vick was noticeably hampered all night. When he ran, things didn't go into video game mode where he's faster than everyone else and picking up insane chunks of yards. He was tracked down by guys yesterday that would have no chance of catching him if he were 100%. Philly's defense wasn't great (no one expected the Pack to have that much running success) but holding Rodgers and the boys to 21 points is commendable. Unfortunately for Philadelphia, their offense that's built on big plays came up one big play short.

The Underdog Uprising of the Week:

The New. York. Football. Jets. Full disclosure: many Colts were hurt, this game is nothing like beating Indy's team last year, Jets fans may overreact a little with the BRING ON THE PATS bravado this week. Fair? Now onto the game. As expected, the Jets never really got near Peyton Manning with any pressure. Based on the results this season, the expectation would be that the Jets blitzes were just failing. But Rex Ryan de-Rex'd himself this week. Gone were the exotic blitz packages and schemes. Arriving were the zone coverages (with Revis on Wayne) that seemed to have Indy confused. The strategy left the Jets naked against the Colts run attack (how many 3rd and 5+ were converted by Addai? It was painful.) But you can't argue with the results. The Colts threw their way to a four-game winning streak to end the season, and 20+ points was a virtual lock for them all season. Except for one blown coverage on the Garcon touchdown, Manning was greatly neutralized. The Jets held strong on every big 3rd down, and gave their offense an excellent chance to win. It would have been a bit easier if Sanchez aimed for receivers' knees instead of their chests, as all of his throws were 5 feet too high for some reason. But the biggest throws were on target and all the receivers were worked into the gameplan nicely. Cromartie and Folk made the biggest plays at the end, and Jets-Pats III all goes down Sunday afternoon.

• Well, we've exhausted three out of four games from this past weekend. Just a few words on Baltimore's beatdown of Kansas City. Matt Cassel was...icky. The Ravens toyed with the Chiefs offense (distracted by Weis leaving?) Jamaal Charles made one big run, otherwise it was a complete and utter destruction. Whenever Kansas City was fortunate enough to gain five or so yards, they would fumble the ball on the tackle. The Chief defense wasn't great, but they weren't given much of a chance either. Baltimore-Pittsburgh will be fun next week.

Well thanks for reading, everybody. Divisional round coverage will be up later in the week.

Wild Card Weekend Preview-palooza Part III

Real quick on this one. After a snoozer in Kansas City, we're all hoping Packers-Eagles will rescue wild card Sunday.

GREEN BAY PACKERS (10-6) AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (10-6)

The Line: Eagles by 1.5

How They Got Here

To put it simply, both teams got here by making the Giants season a living hell. Green Bay has a tenacious defense and a great quarterback in Rodgers. Philly is the fastest offense on Earth with a bit of an iffy defense. Along with Rodgers, Michael Vick makes this the best quarterback matchup of the weekend. And as the point spread indicates, many expect this to be the best game as well.

How the Packers Can Win

Aaron Rodgers slinging the ball all over the place and overwhelming the Eagles defense. They must bottle up Vick while on defense, and good God don't let Jackson or Maclin behind you.

How the Eagles Can Win

Using all the offensive weapons available. There is no way Green Bay, or any defense, can keep pace with Philly if Vick, McCoy, Jackson, and Maclin are all churning. Do everything they can to force the Packers to run the football and take it out of Rodgers' hands.

The Pick

Boy, are people on the Packers. I'm talking, like, Super Bowl hype. And there's definitely reason to believe they can go far. But Philly isn't exactly a ride on the merry-go-round. The Eagles will be willing to slug it out with the Packers, and McCoy get a lot more attention once this one ends. EAGLES 33, PACKERS 27

Wild Card Weekend Preview-palooza II

Wow. I mean, WOW. Yesterday was shocking. It was thrilling. It was incredibly fun to watch....and then the Jets game started. Forget how awful my pick was for the game- seeing Seattle rise to the occasion and play above themselves was phenomenal. Marshawn Lynch had one of the greatest runs in NFL history to seal the deal, and the upset was complete. Maybe it was just me, but that game just made me feel so much better about the Jets' chances last night. Come playoff time, you really have to throw everything out the window. Seattle gave a pacifier to everyone who said they didn't belong, and they're off to the divisional round where they will be given more respect that that 10 point spread against New Orleans.

As far as the Jets...I mean, where do you begin? Well, it's fair to begin with the admittance that Indy was quite banged up. These Colts were not the 2009 Colts, or the 2006 Colts that won it all. But they had Manning, they were at home, and there was a reason the Jets were 3-point underdogs. Believe it or not, the most exciting part about yesterday's Jets win was how flawed they were in victory. Throwing away superb field position in the first half...Sanchez inexplicably throwing every single pass 3 feet too high...Receivers dropping passes. The defense was finally able to "Play like a Jet" and held Peyton Manning as well as anyone could ask (the Colts were held under 20 points just two times all regular season.)

The most appropriate fact pertaining to the game: the Jets MVP and LVP were the same player! Antonio Cromartie got torched on the Colts' one and only touchdown. But he came back later in the game to shock Jets fans with his return-ability. When all hope seemed loss after that damn Vinatieri kicked the field goal we all knew he'd make, Cromartie was prancing down the sideline like a gazelle and making the final drive a possibility. What a day to be one of his seven 3-year-old children.

Ok, more on this game later in the week. Now, onto today's games. It's going to be mighty tough to live up to yesterday's theatrics. But these matchups certainly have the potential to be great.

BALTIMORE RAVENS (12-4) AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (10-6)

The Line: Ravens by 3

How They Got Here

Baltimore started their great regular season by ruining the Jets' home opener at the Meadowlands. They only have four losses, and three (NE, Pit, Atl) were against teams on byes this week. Solid defense, capable offense, and they're battle tested. That destruction of the Patriots last season was no fluke. Ray Rice does it all in the backfield, and the receivers are nothing to sneeze at, either. The Chiefs seem to just be a B-minus version of the Ravens. Cassel, Charles/Jones, and Bowe run the offense, and a bunch of no-names combine to make a rather capable defense. Kansas City will enjoy a big homefield advantage, which may pay serious dividends if this is a close game in the 4th.

How the Ravens Can Win

As the 12-4 record indicates, the Ravens can beat anyone when they play to their potential. Limiting turnovers, playing their defense, and plenty of Ray Rice would be enough to beat these Chiefs. The window won't be open much longer for defensive veterans like Ray Lewis and Ed Reed. Baltimore is a legitimate Super Bowl contender and many people expect them to take care of business this afternoon.

How the Chiefs Can Win

Well, they were tremendous in their home stadium this year. Kansas City also boasts the best rushing attack in the NFL. Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones can pound the rock on anybody. Matt Cassel is unspectacular-yet-effiecient as a quarterback, and Dwayne Bowe really came on this year. The Ravens don't play a blow-you-out style of football, so things should be close throughout. When that's the case, it's great to be the home team.

The Pick

I'm excited for this one. The Chiefs love to run, and the Baltimore defense takes it as a personal insult if you run on them. But Kansas City coach Todd Haley scares me a little bit. You hear some...not nice...things about him. The Chiefs really left a bad taste in people's mouths last week when Oakland blew their doors off. They didn't have much to play for-but in a game this close, it's definitely something to keep in mind. I think too much Ray Rice, too much Baltimore defense, and the Chiefs are a little distracted by Charlie Weis being a pseudo-offensive coordinator as he is leaving for Florida. RAVENS 14, CHIEFS 10

Gotta get this pick up before kickoff...Packers-Eagles will be up later today. Thanks for reading.

Wild Card Weekend Preview-palooza

Hello friends! Welcome back to...the Reilly Sports Blog? It's been over a year since I've blogged on this medium. But Godaddy's blogcast apparatus gigabyte microchip picked the wrong time to give me issues. This happens in NFL playoff time? This is worse than waking up with a golf ball-sized zit on the morning of prom. Actually, I'm 23. Better change that to 'wedding day.'

But if the Corvette ain't starting, you gotta break out the old tricycle. These are some of my favorite sports weekends of the year, and I'll be damned if Drew Brees and the Saints take the field in Seattle without you hearing my thoughts on the games. It's great to be back on the ol' blogspot. It's playoff time- Let's get our hands dirty.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (11-5) AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (7-9)

The Line: Saints by 10

How They Got Here

The Champs vs. The Chumps? No, too harsh. But there's been a lot of hullabaloo about this matchup. New Orleans starts their title defense after an impressive regular season. It was not quite as dominant as 2009 (after all, they didn't win their division this year.) But the Saints are a team nobody wants to play, as Drew Brees will use every weapon he has to the highest potential. On the other hand...Seattle. An uproar rose across the nation about a sub-.500 team making the playoffs. Sitting at home are the Giants and Bucs (both 10-6) while Seattle is in the tournament with a 7-9 mark. What really is driving people bananas is that the Seahawks get to host this game. Personally, I love it. The 'best' wild card team must always face the 'worst' division leader. The Seahawks may be blown off the field this afternoon, but in my mind they have 100% earned that right. The division is the division. This likely won't happen again, and I have no problem with it. And just imagine if Seattle gives the Saints a whale of a game today...

How the Saints Can Win

Well, they're 10-point favorites in a road playoff game. So clearly, I can write an encyclopedia's worth in this section. There's no doubt that the Saints are more talented than the Seahawks in every phase of football. The Saints score more points per game and give up fewer points. New Orleans has a Super Bowl MVP still in his prime, Seattle is using its second quarterback in two weeks. With a great offense and capable defense, anything less than a New Orleans route would be stunning to the football world. If Brees can get a quick score or eight, the raucous crowd will be neutralized and the Saints can put things on cruise control until the divisional round.

How the Seahawks Can Win

Urban Dictionary defines 'miracle' as "A term used by Insane Clown Posse to explain everything that already has a scientific explanation. This includes but is not limited to: f'ing rainbows, pelicans, music, butterflies, and shooting stars." Ok, so we have a foundation here for Seattle. On the bright side, the Seahawks today are giving a new meaning to 'playing with house money. You talk about having no pressure whatsoever. Seattle can play with a reckless abandon we seldom see in the playoffs. The Saints need to be prepared for everything, because they'll be getting twenty different kitchen sinks thrown at them today. The Saints injuries bear watching as well. They would love to have things in hand early in this game, because they don't want their guys getting any more banged up. And I can't write this section without at least mentioning Leon Washington in the return game.

The Pick

Everyone's rooting for a competitive matchup. Come playoff time, there is no longer 10 games going on at the same time. This game has the country all to itself this afternoon. I tend to love underdogs, so of course I like Seattle's chances more than a lot of people. I have a full belief that the crowd will matter and the Seahawks can stay competitive perhaps until halftime. But despite a valiant effort, Seattle's secondary just won't be able to stay upright. Pete Carroll and his team have already had s successful season in being here. But the stats don't lie. This season, an average game for Seattle had them outscored by 6 points a game. I'm rooting for Cinderella, but I don't think the slipper fits. SAINTS 30, SEAHAWKS 16

NEW YORK JETS (11-5) AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (10-6)

The Line: Colts by 2.5

How They Got Here

What a long, strange year it's been since January 24, 2009. The juggernaut Colts overwhelmed the (then) upstart Jets in the AFC Championship. Since then, the Jets got good on offense, bad on defense, and ugly off-the-field. They talked about how great they would be, and did an ok job backing it up through the first half. But much doubt has crept into the minds of Jets fans with defensive breakdowns, struggling against bad teams, and the nightmare of '45-3.' The Jets are where they want to be, but boy do they have a long road ahead. Up first is the pseudo-Colts. They are scary with Manning, Wayne, Freeney, Mathis, and Addai. They are vulnerable without Clark, Sanders, Collie, and several others. Indy was sitting at 6-6 a month ago, and were forced to win out to win the division. Everyone was hoping Jacksonville would take care of business and keep them out. Now that Indy is here, undervaluing them would be a big mistake.

How the Jets Can Win

There are plenty of ways. Shonn Greene burst onto the scene last season based on his monster playoff performances. Yes, Tomlinson beat him out to be the starter this season. But because of that I see Greene as a guy who is fresher than most this time of year. The Colts gave up a billion yards rushing early this season, but have really upped their efforts the last month. They reduced the rushing yards against, but the pass yards really started to pile up. So if Indy sells out to stop Tomlinson/Greene, it will all be on the perhaps-injured shoulder of Mark Sanchez. Out of Holmes, Edwards, Cotchery, and the forgotten-Keller, somebody's going to be running free in this secondary. Efficient passes, and absolutely no turnovers permitted against Peyton and that offense. As far as the defense goes, it's hard to be confident after what Jay Cutler and the Bears were able to do. Holding the Colts under 24 would be satisfactory. The safeties will need to show coverage ability they haven't shown so far this season.

How the Colts Can Win

They have the best player. Manning can win any game on his own, no matter how many injuries the Colts have piled up. We must believe that Reggie Wayne and Pierre Garcon will be largely unavailable to him due to Revis Island and AlCrotraz. But the tape is there on this Jets defense. Manning relentlessly studying tapes of the New England and Chicago games is a troubling thought. Tamme, Blair White, and some other nobodies in the slot will be open the majority of the time. If Manning jumps out quickly, the defense is built for a lead with Freeney and Mathis on the ends. Manning's in his building, and 'one and done' doesn't really roll off the tongue when you're talking about the Colts.

The Pick

Whoa Nellie. There's no doubt whatsoever that Jets fans have tempered expectations about this game. Personally I think it's because everyone was jazzed about playing Kansas City, only to have some unexpected things happen in week 17. Now they're back where it all ended last year, against a guy who is virtually perfect over the years against Rex's defense. Well if you're gonna be the best, you gotta beat the best. Manning and the Colts have never been weaker, but the Jets are underdogs for a reason. It's going to take a big effort. But I don't see it ending today. The season's been too nuts. Jets-Pats III was written in stone long long ago. The Jets need this one to avoid a big step back, and this is the perfect spot to do so. It's Go Time.

JETS 28, COLTS 21

Thanks for reading. We'll preview tomorrow's games...well, tomorrow. Good to be back on the blogspot indefinitely.